Why I’m trying to catch this falling knife after today’s 20% slump

The market is dumping this company… but I believe that this is a mistake.

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Shares in Low & Bonar (LSE: LBW) are crumbling this morning after the performance materials company announced its CEO Brett Simpson has jumped ship to peer Fenner

Simpson has been at Low & Bonar since 2014, and during his time performance has been mixed. Indeed, at the time of writing, shares in the group are changing hands at 53p, 44% below the five-year high of 96p recorded at the beginning of 2014. 

Simpson will remain an employee until the end of April but will resign from the board immediately. Non-executive director Trudy Schoolenberg has stepped in to take over the CEO role.

All change 

According to today’s news release on the matter, Schoolenberg has been non-executive at Low & Bonar for four years and has “extensive executive experience in the chemical, technology and petrochemical sectors with significant engineering and product development expertise from over 20 years’ spent at Royal Dutch Shell.” So it looks like Schoolenberg is an excellent pick for CEO. 

Alongside the news of the management reshuffle, Low & Bonar also issued a trading update today in which it noted a “weaker than expected” final quarter due to an adverse product mix and timing of sales. Due to these pressures, the group is expecting pre-tax profit for the year to range £30m and £31m, marginally below City expectations of £32.2m. Net debt is expected to increase to £138m at the end of the period, from £111m.

Although the market dislikes today’s update, I believe the declines are overdone and, as a result, I’m looking to buy into the group’s recovery. 

Starting to look interesting 

Even though the company now expects to miss City expectations for growth for the year, it’s still on-track to grow pre-tax profit substantially year-on-year. For the fiscal year ending 30 November 2016, the firm reported a pre-tax profit of £26m. So, even if profit comes in at the low end of expectations for 2017 (£30m), it is still set to grow by 15% year-on-year. 

And according to my figures, after today’s declines, even with a lower level of profitability, shares in Low & Bonar are trading at a deeply-discounted multiple of around 8.5 times forward earnings. The shares also support a dividend yield of 4.9%, covered twice by earnings per share. 

But it’s not just the low valuation that attracting me to the shares. The company has recently gained the attention of an activist hedge fund Sterling Strategic Value Fund SA.

Sterling claims to “work together with management and other shareholders to initiate change in a concentrated number of companies.” At the beginning of December, Sterling hiked its interest in Low & Bonar to 10.9%, from 6.9% previously, which indicates to me that the firm is looking to shake up the materials business to unlock value for shareholders.

This means that as well as an attractive valuation, steady growth, and market-beating dividend yield, there’s a catalyst that could ultimately unlock value for shareholders. That’s why I’m looking to catch this falling knife today. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves owns shares in Low & Bonar. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Royal Dutch Shell B. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young mixed-race woman jumping for joy in a park with confetti falling around her
Investing Articles

The Lloyds share price just hit a 52-week high. Can it fly still higher?

The Lloyds Bank share price has followed NatWest upwards this year. Shareholder patience just might be paying off.

Read more »

Investing Articles

£8,000 in cash? Here’s how I’d invest for a £6,960 second income

Investing for a second income isn't always about investing in dividend-paying stocks. Dr James Fox details his growth-oriented strategy.

Read more »

Man writing 'now' having crossed out 'later', 'tomorrow' and 'next week'
Investing Articles

This may be a once-in-a-decade chance to buy dirt cheap FTSE 100 banking stocks

FTSE 100 banking stocks have been cheap for years but now they're starting to grow while paying out lots of…

Read more »

Hand of a mature man opening a safety deposit box.
Investing Articles

10.8% dividend yield! 2 cheap stocks to consider for a £2,060 passive income

Many of us invest for a passive income, and these two stocks could be among the best out there for…

Read more »

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

£8 per year in extra income for life, for each £100 invested today? Here’s how!

Christopher Ruane explains how he would aim to set up extra income streams for the rest of his life by…

Read more »

Photo of a man going through financial problems
Investing Articles

With a £20K Stocks and Shares ISA, I’d target £1,964 in annual dividends like this

With an annual passive income target close to £2,000, our writer explains how he'd put a £20K Stocks and Shares…

Read more »

Illustration of flames over a black background
Investing Articles

Down 63% in 2024, what’s going on with the Avacta (AVCT) share price?

2024 has been a difficult year for many companies in the biotechnology sector, with the AVCT share price down heavily.…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d invest £800 the Warren Buffett way!

Christopher Ruane learns some lessons from super-investor Warren Buffett he hopes could improve his own stock market performance.

Read more »